Total enters into two new 40 year concessions with ADNOC

Total has extended its commitment to the Abu Dhabi by entering into two new 40 year concessions with ADNOC for USD1.45 billion. This follows the deal last week between Eni and ADNOC.

Total has been granted a 5% interest in Lower Zakum and 20% interest in the new Umm, Shaif & Nasr concession. Total notes that the access cost equates to USD1/boe of reserves.

Comparison of transactions

	Total	Eni
Lower Zakum	5%	5%
Uum, Shaif & Nasr	20%	10%
Price Paid	USD1.45 billion	USD875 million

Each concession has a target production of c.450mbopd – the partners intend to grow production to these levels and beyond. At Umm, Shaif & Nasr, as well as growing production from the current 300mbopd, the fields have substantial gas reserves and could support 500mmcfpd. The gas would be used domestically to reduce the reliance on imports while associated condensates can be used in the petrochemicals industry.

The UAE remains an important region for Total who has been in the country for 80 years. Current production from Abu Dhabi alone is c.290mboe/d or 11% of the group’s overall production.

The Lower Zakum concession includes ONGC Videsh (10%), Inpex (10%), Eni (5%) and Total (5%). ADNOC expects to sign a deal for the remaining 10% stake, and has 60% interest.

For the Umm, Shaif & Nasr concession, Total has 20% interest, alongside Eni (10%), with ADNOC having 60% interest. A further agreement for the remaining 10% stake is yet to be signed.

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Leviathan and Aphrodite gas to fuel ELNG at Idku

As widely reported, Shell has been in talks to buy gas from Israel’s Leviathan field and Cyrpus’ Aphrodite field. It is understood that Shell are looking to contract up to 10bcm p.a. for 10 years in a deal worth up to USD25 billion.

Shell would use the gas to properly restart LNG exports from Egyptian LNG at the Idku liquefaction plant. BG Group was the operator of the plant prior to its acquisition by Shell and previously had a non-binding 15 year deal to source gas from Leviathan – this deal stalled amid the takeover by Shell and regulatory hurdles in Israel.

Leviathan is owned by Delek Drilling (45.34%), Noble Energy (39.66% operator) and Ratio Oil Exploration (15%). The field is on track to target first gas by end 2019.

Aphrodite is owned by Noble (35% operator), Delek Drilling (30%) and Shell (35%). Aphrodite lies in Block 12, offshore Cyprus and was discovered in 2011. BG Group farmed into 35% of the field from Noble Energy in November 2015 for USD165 million. Its commercialisation was previously called into question given the resource was too small to justify export infrastructure to mainland Europe or Egypt. However with the recent Calypso discovery in Block 6, which operator Eni has dubbed as a “Zohr like” play, Cypriot gas could finally take off.

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Dolphinus and the wider Egyptian gas hub story

Dolphinus was established with the main aim of becoming a “reliable and stable supplier of gas to major industrial gas distributors and consumers in Egypt”. It was co-founded by prominent Egyptian entrepreneurs Dr. Alaa Arafa, Eng. Khaled Abu Bakr and Mohamed Khalifa.

As a first step in its strategy, Dolphinus entered into a 64bcm, 10 year gas supply contract with Noble Energy and Delek Drilling for their gas in Israel (see Israel's Leviathan and Tamar gas to be sold into Egypt).

This is a welcome move for Egypt as Dolphinus can act as “middleman” for sourcing Israeli gas into Egypt. The two countries are still embroiled in a lawsuit over compensation to Israel when Egypt stopped supplying gas to the former in 2014 under a long term contract after Egypt ran into domestic supply shortages. Dolphinus therefore acts as a politically clean way to buy gas from Israel.

Dolphinus sees Egypt becoming a regional gas hub and looks to take part in that story by playing to the as import side of the story. Egypt has the right ingredients to be a hub. The country has a long history with gas, being an exporter for decades up until 2014 before needing to import gas in the last few years. This means the country has much of the infrastructure in place from domestic gas grids, cross-border pipelines, LNG facilities and access to FSRU capabilities.

While Egypt remains short gas, it is on the verge of being able to export again given the recent large discoveries in the offshore and also the emerging ability to re-export gas sourced from another country. This introduces the concept of Egypt being a gas trader, albeit currently at very early stages.

The existence of LNG export facilities means that the country has the ability (as it did before) to ship gas to a wide variety of destinations and is not reliant on pipeline infrastructure to penetrate markets. Being on the doorstep of the East Med allows Egypt to tap abundant sources of gas and the developing gas import dynamics means that the country is no longer tied to domestic supply sources to feed LNG – the issue back in 2014 when domestic demand outstripped supply and led to LNG facilities to call force majeure and stop exports.

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Israel's Leviathan and Tamar gas to be sold into Egypt

Noble Energy and Delek Drilling announced plans in February to export gas to Egypt. The plan is to supply 64bcm over a 10 year period to Egypt’s Dolphinus Holdings – 32bcm from Leviathan and 32bcm from Tamar.

Each field is contracted up to 3.5bcm p.a. or c.350mmcfpd and will bring the partners USD15 billion over the life of the supply contract. The contracted price and terms are in line with other supply contracts from these fields which is based on a Brent linked formula.

Source: Delek Drilling, February 2018

Leviathan is owned by Delek Drilling (45.34%), Noble Energy (39.66% operator), Ratio Oil Exploration (15%). The field is on track to target first gas by end 2019 and with the extra 350mmcfpd to Dolphinus brings contracted sales close to 900mmcfpd, just below the 1bcfpd target. The first phase of the field is planned to deliver 1.2bcfpd from four wells.

Source: Noble Energy, November 2017 with 525mmcfpd firm GSPAs at the time

Tamar is owned by Isramco Negev (28.75%), Noble Energy (25% operator), Delek Drilling (22%), Tamar Petroleum (16.75%), Dor Gas (4%) and Everest Infrastructures (3.5%) – this reflects the ownership post the recent sale of 7.5% by Noble Energy to Tamar Petroleum as reported previously (Tamar Petroleum to raise bonds to finance acquisition of Tamar from Noble and Israel capital cycle: Noble sells down Tamar to fund Leviathan).

The export route for the gas to Egypt is still to be decided but could utilise existing infrastructure or a new pipeline. At the end of February Noble Energy, Delek Drilling and Dolphinus were reported to be considering acquiring the Arish-Ashkelon pipeline owned by the East Mediterranean Gas company (otherwise known as the EMG pipeline).

Source: Delek Drilling, February 2018

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BP looks to sell out of Gulf of Suez

BP is running a process to sell its more mature fields in the Gulf of Suez, Egypt. The sale is hoped to raise between USD500 - 1,000 million.

The exit of the Gulf of Suez will allow BP to focus more on its deepwater gas portfolio in the country's offshore in the West Nile Delta and Eastern Mediterranean including the Zohr field which it entered at the end of 2016.

BP has 100% of the fields in the Gulf of Suez area and operates them in a JV with the government called Gulf of Suez Oil Company or GUPCO.

GUPCO produces over 70mbopd of oil and 400mmcfpd of gas.

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SDX makes heavy oil discovery at West Gharib in Egypt

SDX has made a heavy oil discovery on the West Ghraib licence at the Rabul-5 well.

The partners had implemented a waterflood programme in 2017 on the block and commenced an exploration and appraisal programme. Rabul-1 and -2 were drilled last year resulting in two discoveries and the current Rubul-5 well is a continuation of the delineation programme. Approval for develeopment locations at Meseda will be sought in 2018.

SDX holds 50% interest in the block, with Dublin International Petroleum holding the remaining operated 50% interest.

Press release below:

SDX Energy Inc., the North Africa focused oil and gas company, is pleased to announce that
an oil discovery has been made at its Rabul 5 Well in the West Gharib Concession in Egypt (SDX 50% Working Interest & Joint Operator).

The well was drilled to 5,280 feet total depth and encountered approximately 151 feet of net heavy oil pay across the Yusr and Bakr formations, with an average porosity of 18%. Further evaluation of the discovery is ongoing, after which the Company expects the well to be completed as a producer and connected to the central processing facilities at Meseda.

Following completion of the Rabul 5 well the Company will move on to the Rabul 4 location, the second of two appraisal wells planned for the Rabul feature this year.

Paul Welch, President and CEO of SDX, commented:
"We are pleased to continue our recent run of drilling success with this oil discovery at Rabul 5. This well encountered the thickest section of pay sands seen in the Rabul area to date, demonstrating the significant oil potential contained within the licence. We have further drilling activity planned for the concession over the coming months and we firmly believe that these activities will enable us to increase output from the licence and achieve our ambitious production plans for 2018.”

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Flight ban into Kurdistan lifted

Kurdistan operators can begin to ramp up operations again following the re-opening of the airport. As reported previously, the closure had caused logistical problems for the operators.

Reuters reported yesterday that Iraq has lifted the ban on international flights to the semi-autonomous Kurdistan Region's airports. Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi said that Kurdistan's regional airports will be under the command of the Federal Ministry of the Interior. The ban on international flights was part of sanctions imposed on Kurdistan after September’s Independence referendum. In recent months the oil companies and service providers have reined in activity, and gone overland via Turkey when required.

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