Tuesday 3 June 2014

Bakken

Intro and history

  • Spans western North Dakota, eastern Montana in US and parts of Saskatchewan and Manitoba in Canada
  • Named after Montana farmland owner Henry Bakken
  • Recoverable estimates continue to increase as more about the play is understood
  • First production in 1951, after which, formation began to be mapped
  • In mid-90s, Elm Coulee field discovered with significant oil accumulation in the middle Bakken member
    • In mid-2000s, EOG drilled the Nelson Farms 1-24H well; demonstrated H-wells with fracture stimulation could produce high IPs
    • In 2009, Continental Resources found that the Bakken and Three Forks formations were separate reservoirs and could be produced independently


Well economics

  • EURs highly dependent on location: range 200 to >1,000mboe, average 450-650mboe
  • Wells average USD9.5m to drill and complete, but can vary depending on length of lateral and material usage
    • 10,000ft laterals and 40 fracture stages becoming common
    • Implementation of pad drilling is reducing costs


Infrastructure

  • c.65% oil shipped via rail; enables access to higher Gulf Coast sales prices (Light Louisiana Sweet “LLS”)
  • 2012 production: >700mbopd vs. 2007 production: c.200mbopd
  • Transporting to Gulf Coast has been economically more attractive than to the oil congested WTI hub at Cushing, Oklahoma
  • Explosive growth meant existing inter and intra-state pipelines quickly reached capacity
    • Within play, crude transported by truck
    • Outside play, rail and pipeline used
    • Rail (USD15-20/bbl) is more expensive than pipeline (USD8-9/bbl), but allows access to LLS pricing


Outlook

  • Cost reduction
  • Expand longevity of play by testing lower Three Forks
  • Down spacing
  • Secondary and tertiary recovery

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