Wednesday, 1 April 2015

Saleh: Enemies become allies


The Houthi movement was founded in the 1990s to revive a branch of Shia Islam known as Zaidism. Historically the Zaidis had ruled over North Yemen until their toppling in 1962 during the Yemen Civil War. Since then, they have been increasingly marginalised by the new regime which viewed Zaidism as a threat.

In the beginning, the Houthi movement was peaceful. It sought a voice in a regime where it was being opressed. It called for a partnership with President Saleh to work things out and not for his overthrow. However, the Houthis also saw the United States as an enemy of Islam and President Saleh’s alliance with the US on the “War on Terror” shaped the events that followed.

President Saleh was seen by the Houthis as a traitor; the Houthis were vocal in pushing for his ousting. In response, President Saleh stepped up efforts to repress the movement, including attacks on Houthi villages. The movement became increasingly military in order to defend itself with six wars being waged upon them by the Saleh Government between 2004 and 2010. The wars led to massive deaths in the Sadaa region, the stronghold of the Houthis, and had the effect of alienating much of the Northern Yemeni population.

The Arab Spring came at an opportune time for the Houthis who capitalised on the Yemeni’s discontent with the government and lack of progress on the economic and security fronts; the Houthis openly supported the protests against President Saleh. Following the removal of President Saleh, the Houthis stepped up as a candidate to fill the power vacuum and vowed to set up its own political party to participate in the country’s next elections. Support for the Houthis grew, although its appeal was probably less to do with its ideology and more of a common hatred against Saleh’s repressive regime.

The Houthis realised that in order to be heard and to make an impact, it would have to do so through the political arena which would legitimise the movement. However, it is now becoming evident that its extension into politics is part of a grander plan to gain governing and military dominance. Three years after the Arab Spring, Yemen’s interim government headed by President Hadi, had yet to make any noticeable improvements to the country. The Houthis saw this as the time to act and in 2014, launched an aggressive military campaign in the north of Yemen culminating in the capture of the capital Sanaa in September 2014. Government departments and the airport were seized and President Hadi was placed under house arrest. The capture of Sanaa was months, if not years in the planning. By mid 2014, the Houthi’s had already surrounded the capital and its final move into the city was executed at lightening speed.

The Houthi’s could not have achieved all this without military support. In a twist of events, this support is coming from ex-President Saleh, who once upon a time, aggressively tried to crush the Houthis during his reign. Saleh’s loyal followers, including those in the country’s army and security services have aided the advance of the Houthis, or in some cases actively chose not to protect against their advances. The Houthi alliance with Saleh is a strange one, but one that has allowed the former to widen and strengthen its grip and the latter to orchestrate the destruction of the new regime and the Hadi government, an act of revenge against those who overthrew him.  How long this alliance lasts, only time will tell, but probably for no longer than one needs the other.

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