Exporting Canadian Gas to the US Pacific North West

 

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Pembina Investment Highlights

Pembina Pipeline Corporation's competitive advantage is driven by its highly integrated, fee-based midstream infrastructure, which links Western Canadian natural gas and liquids producers to global markets through an extensive pipeline network, strategic facilities, and specialized export terminals. [1, 2]

Key elements of this competitive position include:

• Integrated Value Chain: Pembina operates across the entire hydrocarbon value chain, providing comprehensive services in natural gas gathering, processing, NGL fractionation, storage, and transportation. This integration, including the acquisition of assets like the Alliance/Aux Sable, allows for greater efficiency and reliability. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
• Strategic Infrastructure Network: The company boasts over 11,000 miles of pipelines in Alberta and British Columbia, with a transport capacity of 3.5 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, facilitating access to major North American hubs. [1, 2]
• Export Capabilities:
  • Vancouver Wharves: A 125-acre bulk marine terminal with four vessel berths, backed by three Class 1 railways.
  • Prince Rupert Terminal: A liquefied propane export facility, which has strengthened Pembina's market access to Asia. [1, 2, 3]
• Contract Structure: A vast majority of Pembina's business is contracted under long-term, take-or-pay agreements with creditworthy counterparties, which provides stable cash flows. [1, 2]
• Marketing & New Ventures: While this division offers opportunities for higher returns through trading products like butane, ethane, and propane, it also introduces cash flow volatility due to commodity price fluctuations and short-term market risks. [1, 2, 3]

As of early 2026, Pembina is further reinforcing its position by developing projects such as [Cedar LNG] (a floating LNG facility in British Columbia) and expanding its conventional pipeline systems to meet growing demand

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Higher Energy Prices Eroding Growth Momentum

 Higher energy prices are lifting inflation and eroding growth momentum.

Will an Iranian ceasefire hold and will it be a soft, messy ceasefire or a robust ceasefire?

Then do we transition from a ceasefire to a fragile peace with many issues remaining unresolved including the long-term future for the Strait or Hormuz, where in theory, Iran and Oman hold leverage over the chokepoint?

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Major Pipelines Moving WCSB Gas

 Major CER Regulated Gas Pipelines

https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/en/data-analysis/facilities-we-regulate/canadas-pipeline-system/2021/natural-gas-pipeline-transportation-system.html

Alberta Energy Regulator Gas Export Map

https://www.aer.ca/data-and-performance-reports/statistical-reports/alberta-energy-outlook-st98/pipelines-and-other-infrastructure/pipelines

TC Energy Systems

https://www.tcenergy.com/operations/maps/

Other

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1448806/000135448813001897/eflo_991.htm

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Major Pipelines Moving WCSB Crude Oil

 

Enbridge Mainline and Other Enbridge Systems

CER Map

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Kinder Morgan Natural Gas Pipeline NGPL

 

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The PJM Reliability Resource Initiative (RRI)

The PJM RRI was a one-time, expedited process launched by PJM to address near-term concerns about resource adequacy due to factors like significant load growth (e.g., from data centers), accelerated generator retirements, and the time it takes for new resources to complete the standard interconnection process.

Here are the key points about the PJM RRI:

• Purpose: To quickly bring "shovel-ready" generation resources online that can most effectively contribute to grid reliability in the PJM region.
• Mechanism: It allowed a limited number of new or upgraded generation projects (up to 51 were ultimately selected) to bypass the standard queue and join Transition Cycle #2 (TC2) of PJM's reformed interconnection process. This accelerated the study and approval timeline.
• Project Selection: Projects were selected based on a weighted scoring formula that primarily considered:
• Market Impact Criteria (e.g., Unforced Capacity (UCAP) and Effective Load-Carrying Capability (ELCC), which measure reliability contribution).
• Commercial Operation Date Viability Criteria (e.g., the planned in-service date and the project's readiness, such as permitting, equipment, and financing).

Result: The initiative successfully selected a mix of projects, including uprates to existing natural gas and nuclear facilities, as well as new battery storage and gas construction, with the goal of adding significant reliable capacity to the grid.

In short, the PJM RRI was a temporary, emergency measure to boost the grid's resource capacity and maintain reliability in the face of rapidly changing electricity supply and demand dynamics.

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