Saudi Arabia - joining the dots

A series of blog entries exploring Saudi Arabia's role in the oil markets with a brief look at the history of the royal family and politics that dictate and influence the Kingdom's oil policy

AIM - Assets In Market

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Iran negotiations - is the end nigh?

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Yemen: The Islamic Chessboard?

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Acquisition Criteria

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Valuation Series

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Showing posts with label CNPC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CNPC. Show all posts

Wednesday, 16 May 2018

Total to pull out of Iranian mega gas project if sanction waivers not granted


Total has warned that it will pull out of the giant South Pars development offshore Iran if it is unable to secure sanction waivers. The imposition of sanctions would be crippling for Total as it would completely lock it out of any US related activity including the ability to access the capital markets.


Should Total pull out, partner CNPC will take over Total’s 50.1% stake and operatorship of the project under a previous agreement which was entered with the foresight that Iranian sanctions may be re-imposed.

Source: Al Jazeera

Full press release from Total:

Paris - On 4 July 2017, Total, together with the other partner Petrochina, executed the contract related to the South Pars 11 (SP11) project, in full compliance with UN resolutions and US, EU and French legislation applicable at the time. SP11 is a gas development project dedicated to the supply of domestic gas to the domestic Iranian market and for which Total has voluntarily implemented an IRGC-free policy (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) for all contractors participating in the project, thereby contributing to the international policy to restrain the field of influence of the IRGC. 

On 8 May 2018, President Donald Trump announced the United States’ decision to withdraw from the JCPOA and to reinstate the US sanctions that were in force before the JCPOA’s implementation, subject to certain wind down periods. 

As a consequence and as already explained before, Total will not be in a position to continue the SP11 project and will have to unwind all related operations before 4 November 2018 unless Total is granted a specific project waiver by the US authorities with the support of the French and European authorities. This project waiver should include protection of the Company from any secondary sanction as per US legislation.

Total has always been clear that it cannot afford to be exposed to any secondary sanction, which might include the loss of financing in dollars by US banks for its worldwide operations (US banks are involved in more than 90% of Total’s financing operations), the loss of its US shareholders (US shareholders represent more than 30% of Total’s shareholding) or the inability to continue its US operations (US assets represent more than 10 billion dollars of capital employed).

In these circumstances, Total will not take any further commitment related to the SP11 project and, in accordance with its contractual commitments vis à vis the Iranian authorities, is engaging with the French and US authorities to examine the possibility of a project waiver.

Total confirms that its actual spending to date with respect to the SP11 contract is less than 40 million euros in Group share. Furthermore, considering the various growth opportunities which have been captured by Total in recent months, Total confirms that a withdrawal from SP11 would not impact its production growth target of 5% CAGR between 2016 and 2022.



South Pars development scheme



Monday, 19 February 2018

OVL to bid for South Azadegan oil development in Iran

Indian oil giant ONGC Videsh Limited ("OVL") will bid for the development rights of the giant South Azadegan in Iran. There is strong competition with the likes of Gazprom, Lukoil, Rosneft, Shell, Total, Eni Petronas, Inpex, Sinopec and CNPC. of Malaysia and Russia’s Gazprom. OVL is one of 34 companies that pre-qualified last year for development of the field which is estimated to contain 6bnboe recoverable and currently produces 80mbbl/d - with the right investment, this could reach 320mbbl/d.

The National Iranian Oil Co ("NIOC") will issue a tender for the development shortly.

Separately, OVL will also rework the Farzad B gas field at a cost of USD6.2 billion, which it had discovered a decade ago and is trying to get Iran to award rights of the field to it. Sources say that OVL had last year made its ‘best’ offer to invest USD11 billion in developing the Farzad-B field and building export infrastructure but Iran has deterred awarding the rights of the field to OVL owing to differences over pricing of the fuel. OVL has now instead offered to do just the upstream part of bringing the field to production while leaving the marketing of the fuel to Iran, which will cost USD6.2 billion.

Saturday, 16 December 2017

CNPC could take over Total's interests in Iran

CNPC is considering taking over Total's stake in a the giant South Pars development if Total needs to exit Iran to comply with any new U.S. sanctions. In October, President Trump refused to certify Iran's compliance with the nuclear deal leading to a Congressional vote on whether to reimpose sanctions on Iran.

The date of the vote has not yet been set , but if sanctions are reimposed they could prohibit companies working in Iran from also operating in the United States. For Total, the stakes are high, where they have much larger operations in the United States.

Total signed the USD1 billion deal to develop the South Pars gas field in July. However, the contract provided mechanisms to allow Total to pull out in the case of sanctions imposition, whereby CNPC has the option to take over Total's stake. CNPC could take over Total's 50.1% interest and become operator of the project if Total is forced to withdraw from Iran. CNPC has a 30% stake, while the Iranian national oil company's subsidiary PetroPars holds the remaining 19.9%. If this goes ahead, then CNPC would shoulder 80.5% of the cost of the project, estimated at $2 billion for the first stage.
Any change would also delay the project as Total is already in discussion with service companies and is expected to award contracts early next year.

The South Pars project will have a production capacity of 2bcf/d plus condensates, Total has said. It would start supplying the Iranian domestic market starting in 2021.

Friday, 8 December 2017

In AWE

China Energy Reserve and Chemical Group (“CERCG”) has returned with a second bid for AWE at A$0.73/share, valuing the company at A$463 million. This follows the withdrawal of the earlier offer at A$0.71/share on 4th December.

On 30th November, CERCG put out a takeover offer for AWE at A$0.71/share contingent on due diligence, approval by the regulatory authorities and the CERBG board. The offer was at a 30% premium to the share price was deemed insufficient by AWE to grant access for due diligence. The bid was subsequently withdrawn on 4th December.

CERCG remains fiercely private with limited information in the public domain. It is reported to have deep pockets with material property investments in Hong Kong to the tune of billions. It is also understood that some of the directors are also on the board of China New Energy Mining Limited, which is the JV partner to Sino Gas on upstream gas developments in China.

On 8th December, CERCG re-launched an offer at A$0.73/share – marginally better but places limited value on the vast contingent resource base of the company with potential upgrade at Waitsia. The approach from CERCG is the third bid in four years. The Lone Star bid at A$0.80/share (A$421 million) in 2016 and Senex scrip/cash bid in 2013 (at A$672 million) were both rejected.

This bid demonstrates continued Chinese interest in pursuing overseas acquisitions, and follows GeoJade’s venture into the international E&P arena with the acquisition of Bankers Petroleum in 2016. However the Chinese state oil companies remain on the sidelines having been burned by poorly timed acquisitions in the past decade, and it is the smaller private Chinese E&Ps and investors that are coming to the foreground.