Saudi Arabia - joining the dots

A series of blog entries exploring Saudi Arabia's role in the oil markets with a brief look at the history of the royal family and politics that dictate and influence the Kingdom's oil policy

AIM - Assets In Market

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Iran negotiations - is the end nigh?

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Yemen: The Islamic Chessboard?

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Acquisition Criteria

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Valuation Series

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Showing posts with label TransGlobe. Show all posts
Showing posts with label TransGlobe. Show all posts

Tuesday, 6 December 2016

TransGlobe: Branching out...back to roots

This week saw Canadian listed, Egyptian focussed TransGlobe ‎announce an acquisition of producing assets in Western Canada. The company will be paying USD80 million to Bellatrix Exploration for Cardium light oil and Mannville liquid-rich gas acreage in the Harmattan Area. The portfolio comes with 21mmboe of 2P reserves and 3,100boepd of production.

The acquisition is a shift away from the company's ‎historic strategy of being an Egyptian focussed player. However this had been pre-announced with TransGlobe stating earlier this year that it was seeking to diversify its asset base with more exposure to OECD. Although shareholders would have initially invested in TransGlobe for the attractive story at the time of low risk, onshore exploration and production in the Middle East, the company has failed to deliver that story for a variety of reasons and this acquisition appears to be a sensible first step in redefining the company.

Having lost its position in Yemen followed by a series of disappointments in Egypt, TransGlobe has fallen short of its aspirations which would have seen Egyptian production of c.20mbopd today instead of the current c.13mbopd. The Arab Spring which began at the end of 2010 coupled with the more recent spread of Islamic State has deterred investor interest from the Middle East. For TransGlobe specifically, the lack of a stable government in Egypt until the arrival of President Sisi and a ballooning budget deficit hampered TransGlobe's efforts to progress its portfolio in the country as well as being paid for its production by EGPC.

While production cash flow should help strengthen the company's financial position, the mix of Canadian and Egyptian cash flow presents an eclectic mix of assets and it will be interesting to see how TransGlobe will continue to transform over time.