Saudi Arabia - joining the dots

A series of blog entries exploring Saudi Arabia's role in the oil markets with a brief look at the history of the royal family and politics that dictate and influence the Kingdom's oil policy

AIM - Assets In Market

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Iran negotiations - is the end nigh?

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Yemen: The Islamic Chessboard?

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Acquisition Criteria

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Valuation Series

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Showing posts with label Genel. Taq Taq. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Genel. Taq Taq. Show all posts

Tuesday 24 January 2017

Taq Taq Tumble

At the end of October, we raised the prospect of a potential downgrade at Taq Taq following a disappointing production update from Genel.

On 24th January, Genel provided updated guidance of 24-31mbopd production average for the field in 2017, down from 60.2mbopd in 2016. The declining production from the field has already been well publicised, however the scale of the fall was unexpected.

A new field development plan and reserves estimates are being currently being prepared and expected to be published within the coming months. Capital investment to stem the decline is expected, however given the low level of the FY2017 production guidance, this spend could be some way off.

On a more positive note, production from the DNO-operated Tawke field is budgeted to increase to 115mbopd from 107mbopd (2016).

On the Miran and Bina Bawi gas fields, Genel continues to seek a partner to help develop the resources, but management expect to recognise an impairment charge on this asset in the 2016 year end results.

Despite the issues facing Genel, the company still holds a large resource and remains one of the largest Kurdistan focussed E&Ps. The gas resource provides significant upside with ample demand once local geopolitics allows for its development.