Tamar: Win one contract, lose another

Following Noble Energy and Delek Drilling’s announcement in February that it would be selling gas to Egypt’s Dolphinus Holdings from the Tamar and Leviathan fields, Egypt is ditching a previous agreement to import gas from Tamar.

Madrid’s Union Fenosa Gas had signed a non-binding letter of intent in May 2014 with the Tamar field partners to buy gas for the supply of the Damietta LNG plant in Egypt. The LNG plant is operated by Segas, a JV between Union Fenosa Gas, Eni and the Egyptian state. This arrangement has been cancelled as at the end of March, citing that it was “no longer relevant”.

This suggests that Eni, one of the partners of Segas, will supply Damietta with gas from its Zohr field.

Last month, Dolphinus Holdings had agreed to import 3.5bcm from each of Tamar and Leviathan for a period of 10 years under a contract wortg USD15 billion.

Tamar is owned by Isramco Negev (28.75%), Noble Energy (25% operator), Delek Drilling (22%), Tamar Petroleum (16.75%), Dor Gas (4%) and Everest Infrastructures (3.5%) – this reflects the ownership post the recent sale of 7.5% by Noble Energy to Tamar Petroleum as reported previously (Tamar Petroleum to raise bonds to finance acquisition of Tamar from Noble and Israel capital cycle: Noble sells down Tamar to fund Leviathan).

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Double success for Energean – IPO and FID

Energean put the East Med on the map this week propelling the region into the headlines.

Energean debuted on the London Stock Exchange at the beginning of this week with its Initial Public Offering and USD460 million of new money putting the company’s market capitalisation at just under USD1 billion. The company’s flagship asset is its 70% stake in the Karish & Tanin gas fields offshore Israel which contain 2.4tcf of gas and 33mmboe of light hydrocarbon liquids. First gas is targeted for 2021. The company also has producing assets in Greece and an exploration portfolio throughout the Aegean region.

In the same week Energean reached Final Investment Decision on the Karish & Tanin development giving the green light to commence the USD1.6 biliion project. USD405 million from the IPO proceeds will be used to fund Energean’s 70% share of the project and partner Kerogen will fund its 30% stake. A USD1.275 billion bank facility will also be used to fund this ambitious project.

Energean has secured long-term gas agreements with some of the largest private power producers and industrial companies in Israel. To date it has contracted for the purchase of a total of 61bcm over a period of 16 years, at an annual rate of c.4.2bcm p.a..

The East Med has become a hot play for gas and Karish & Tanin follow in the footsteps of giant gas fields in the region including Leviathan, Zohr and Aphrodite. Energean is set to become an exciting story to follow as industry interest in the East Med grows and the demand for its gas becomes increasingly important being in the centre of short gas MENA countries and the doorstep of Europe.

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BP looks to sell out of Gulf of Suez

BP is running a process to sell its more mature fields in the Gulf of Suez, Egypt. The sale is hoped to raise between USD500 - 1,000 million.

The exit of the Gulf of Suez will allow BP to focus more on its deepwater gas portfolio in the country's offshore in the West Nile Delta and Eastern Mediterranean including the Zohr field which it entered at the end of 2016.

BP has 100% of the fields in the Gulf of Suez area and operates them in a JV with the government called Gulf of Suez Oil Company or GUPCO.

GUPCO produces over 70mbopd of oil and 400mmcfpd of gas.

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Mubadala enters Zohr - acquires 10% from Eni

Mubadala has agreed to acquire a 10% interest in Zohr from USD934 million. Mubadala will acquire an interest in the Shorouk concession which contains the Zohr field. The super giant field came onstream in December 2017, 28 months after its discovery. The field is currently producing 400mmcfpd and planned to reach plateau by the end of 2019.

For Mubadala, this adds a world class asset with long term cash flows into its investment portfolio. Musabbeh Al Kaabi, Chief Executive Officer of Petroleum & Petrochemicals, Mubadala Investment Company, and Chairman of Mubadala Petroleum said: “This is an important and attractive investment for Mubadala, adding a world-class asset to our portfolio with long-term cash flows. We are joining a strong partnership with Eni as operator, who have delivered the project in record time and with the full support of the Egyptian authorities.”

For Eni, the deal is consistent with its strategy of monetising development and producing assets to recycle cash flows for exploration. It also reduces Eni’s portfolio weighting more towards OECD, a long term shift that the company continues to pursue. Claudio Descalzi, Chief Executive Office of Eni, said: “We are pleased to be working with Mubadala and welcome them into the partnership for the Shorouk concession. This represents a further signal about the strength and quality of this world class asset developed by Eni”.

The deal follows Eni’s farm-out of Zohr to BP and Rosneft in November and December 2016 prior to development spending. At the time, BP acquired 10% for USD525 million and 30% to Rosneft for USD1.125 billion. This compares with Mubadala’s current buy-in price of USD934 million for 10%.

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Zohr II at Calypso offshore Cyprus

Eni has made a sizeable gas discovery offshore Cyprus which could accelerate the country’s path to gas exports. The Calypso-1 discovery was made on Block 6 which is dubbed as a “Zohr like” play.

Full announcement by Eni below:

Eni has made a lean gas discovery in Block 6 Offshore Cyprus with Calypso 1 NFW. The well, which was drilled in 2,074 meters of water depth reaching a final total depth of 3,827 meters, encountered an extended gas column in rocks of Miocene and Cretaceous age.

The Cretaceous sequence has excellent reservoir characteristics. An intensive and detailed data collection (fluids and rock samples) has been executed on the well.

Calypso 1 is a promising gas discovery and confirms the extension of the “Zohr like” play in the Cyprus Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ).

Additional studies will be carried out to assess the range of the gas volumes in place and define further exploration and appraisal operations.

Eni is the Operator of Block 6 with 50% of participation interest while Total is partner with the remaining 50%. Eni has been present in Cyprus since 2013 and detains interests in six licenses located in the EEZ of Cyprus (in Blocks 2, 3, 6, 8, 9 and 11), five of which are operated.

Source: https://www.eni.com/en_IT/media/2018/02/eni-announces-a-gas-discovery-offshore-cyprus

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Zohr record breaker

In record time for a deepwater gas development of this scale, Eni has announced first production from Zohr. The field was discovered in August 2015 and FID taken in early 2016 - Eni achieved first gas from discovery in 2.5 years.

Zohr is the largest gas discovery ever made offshore Egypt and is located in the Shorouk block. The field has begun production at 350mmcfpd and is expected to grow to 1bcfpd by mid-2018. The speed of development is a testament to Eni's "Dual Exploration Model" which was adopted in 2013. Under this model, Eni works the exploration, appraisal and development planning and phases in parallel while bringing in minority partners at the same time to help fund the costs.

Zohr has >30tcf of GIIP and forms an important piece of the jigsaw to solving Egypt's short gas problem. The new production will help feed the hungry and growing domestic gas demand which Egypt has been trying to manage by raising domestic prices on the one hand and incentivising further gas exploration/development on the other.

The Zohr partners are Eni (60%), Rosneft (30%) and BP (10%). Eni is co-Operator of the project through Petrobel, which is jointly held by Eni and EGPC.

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BP Christmas shopping

BP has announced a series of high profile acquisitions in the past few weeks. The deals are in line with BP's longer term strategy of building in regions where they can gain "scale and materiality", although the company has moved more quickly than expected based on OGInsight's recent conversation with them, where BP said they were in divestment and portfolio rationalisation mode. This potentially signals a view of an improving oil price environment and willingness to move from balance sheet conservatism to growth.

At the end of November, BP acquired a 10% interest in Zohr from Eni. Since then, BP has announced two further acquisitions:

ADCO Concession

BP announced over the weekend that it had secured a 10% stake in the Abu Dhabi’s multi-billion barrel resource ADCO concession. BP previously held 9.5% in the concession prior to the expiry of its licence in January 2014. Other holders of the concession are currently Total (10%), INPEX (5%) and GS Energy (3%).

The concession is for 40 years and will add 1.8bnboe of 2P reserves to BP (net). The agreement includes various fields in the country with a total resource base estimated at c.20bnboe and represents a long term, low decline, sizeable resource for BP. The timing of the transaction will allow BP to book the reserves for the year end.

BP will pay a signature bonus of $2.2bn for its 10% stake, in line with the bonuses paid by other participants. However, the key noticeable difference is that BP will be paying in shares and will be issuing 393 million shares at £4.47 or a 9% discount, equating to 2% of its stock. The shares will be held by Mubudala and signals flexibility on the part of Abu Dhabi to secure a deal in a tough environment.

Mauritania and Senegal with Kosmos Energy

On 19^th December, BP announced that it had reached agreement with Kosmos Energy to acquire an operated interest in the Tortue field and surrounding blocks offshore Mauritania and Senegal. This will comprise of a 62% operated interest in C-6, C-8, C-12 and C-13 on the Mauritania side and 32.5% interest in Saint-Louis Profond and Cayar Profond on the Senegal side.

As part of the deal, BP will pay USD162 million upon closing of the transaction, appraisal carry of USD221 million and development carry of USD533 million bring total consideration to USD916 million. BP will also pay a contingent bonus of up to USD2/bbl for up to 1bnbbl of liquids structured as a royalty, should liquids be discovered. Kosmos will continue as exploration operator of the blocks.

The blocks contain the Tortue field, which is estimated to hold 15tcf of gas resources with potential for 1bnbbl of liquids. Project sanction is expected to be in 2018 with the most likely development scenario being a phased near-shore FLNG development.

Greater Tortue Area
Source: Kosmos Energy

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Eni: Bringing in successive partners for Zohr

On 28^th November, Eni announced the divestment a 10% interest in Zohr to BP for USD375 million plus pro-rata reimbursement of past costs (c.USD150 million net), bringing total consideration to USD525 million. BP also has an option to acquire an additional 5% interest on the same terms before the end of 2017.

On 12^th December, Eni announced that it had divested a further 30% interest in Zohr to Rosneft for USD1.125 billion and USD450 million of back costs - i.e. on substantially the same terms as BP. Rosneft also has an option to acquire an additional 5% interest on the same terms.

The transactions reduce Eni's exposure to the Zohr development by 40% from 100% to 60%; this could fall to 50% if BP and Rosneft exercise their options for additional interests. The divestment will also reduce Eni's capex by c.USD900 million in 2017 ahead of first gas at the end of 2017. A similar capex saving is expected to be made in 2018.

Eni has successfully demonstrated its ability to monetise large resource finds. The farm-out significantly derisks the upcoming development and it is promising to see buyers for good quality assets despite the current oil price environment.

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