Chevron-Anadarko: the overlooked jewel

As Chevron swallows up its USD50 billion acquisition of Anadarko, OGInsights turns its focus away form the heavily covered synergies in the Permian, DJ Basin and Gulf of Mexico, and towards its LNG portfolio as Chevron strives to join the ranks of the supermajors in LNG.

Chevron has a Australasia-centric LNG business, but Anadarko's 27% operated interest in Mozambique Area 1 now broadens the former's reach. The Mozambique position is a low cost, integrated LNG project in an ideal geography with reach into the European and Asian markets.

Area 1 is close to FID with c.9.5mtpa of its 12.88mtpa capacity already signed up. The stepping in of Chevron into Anadarko's shoes adds further weight behind the project. 

In February, it was noted that Anadarko had signed a 2.6mtpa LNG SPA with Tokyo Gas/Centrica
joint agreement with implicit destination flexibility which will help broaden Chevron's LNG marketing portfolio, although it is yet to fully launch its own trading portfolio like the Shells and Totals of this world.

The Area 1 LNG joint venture in Mozambique comprises Anadarko, Mitsui, ONGC, ENH (Mozambique NOC), Bharat PetroResources, PTTEP and Oil India. In addition to the Area 1 development, the Area 4 joint venture between Exxon and Eni is on track for sanctioning later in 2019.

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Genel grows in Kurdistan

Genel is acquiring interests in the Chevron operated Sarta and Qara Dagh blocks.

Genel will acquire a 30% interest in Sarta and will pay 50% of the field development costs until a specific production target is reached; there will also be a production milestone contingent payment – total spend by Genel is estimated at USD60 million. Chevron will retain a 50% interest and the KRG holds the remaining 2% interest which is carried by the oil companies. Sarta currently has three wells with both Sarta-2 and Sarta-3 having flow tested at c.7,500bopd. The first phase of development will produce from these wells with initial export via trucking.

Qara Dagh is an appraisal licence and Genel will acquire a 40% operated interest through a carry. Chevron will retain 40% interest and the KRG holds the remaining 20% interest. The last well (Qara Dagh-1) was drilled in 2011 which showed complex geology. Genel plans to drill Qara Dagh-2 in 2020.

Genel is slowly rebuilding its profile following a series of disastrous downgrades in Kurdistan – this is now behind the company and it is receiving good cash flow from the Tawke production which it can now reinvest in Kurdistan.

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Bidders pull out of Alba sale by Statoil and Mitsui

Deloitte has launched the sale of Endeavour Energy UK. The US parent company of Endeavour Energy UK is going through bankruptcy proceedings and Deloitte has been appointed to monetise the company’s UK unit.

Endeavour Energy UK owns a 25.7% in Alba amongst other North Sea assets. This is larger than Statoil’s 17% or Mitsui’s 13.3% stake which is being marketed.

Although Statoil and Mitsui have been trying to sell their stakes since the end of last year, the unusually lengthy process signals the challenges with the asset.

The sale being run by Deloitte will be a bankruptcy sale which will allow buyers to pick up the asset on the cheap. As a result, sources involved in running the Statoil and Mitsui sale say that the Endeavour Energy UK route presents a much cheaper way to pick up the same asset, as well as it being a larger, more meaningful stake.

Challenges which bidders had come to appreciate with Alba include:

• Limited upside
• Expensive and near-term decommissioning
• Bankruptcy of Endeavour Energy which would have left the buyer with larger exposure to future costs

Being able to pick up Alba through the Endeavour Energy proceedings at a lower price therefore makes the risks and challenges of owning Alba much more palatable, another bidder said.

Challenges raised by a number of parties who looked at Alba are discussed in depth here: 

Endeavour endangers Alba sale for Statoil and Mitsui

Related links:

• Endeavour Energy kicks off North Sea assets sale (external – Reuters)
• Chevron shuts in Alba platform as Mitsui and Statoil try to sell the field

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Chevron shuts in Alba platform as Mitsui and Statoil try to sell the field

Chevron the operator of the Alba field in the UK North Sea has announced at the end of last week that it had been forced to shut down production at the field. This follows a power outage at the platform. Emergency back-up power is in place and the crew continues to try and restore power. The mature heavy oil field which was brought onstream in 1994 is exploited from a fixed platform tied to a floating storage unit.

Endeavour had tried to sell its interest in the field in the past without success and is currently going through bankruptcy proceedings and could lose its stake with the other partners picking up pro rata. Statoil and Mitsui are trying to sell their stakes, but the prospect of unintentionally picking up additional interests from an Endeavour bankruptcy has scared off some potential buyers as this comes with an increased exposure to near-term decommissioning costs which are high for a development of this kind.

The partners in Alba are Chevron (23.37% operator), Endeavour (25.68%), Statoil (17%), Mitsui (13%), Spirit Energy née Centrica (12.65%), EnQuest (8%).

Further issues raised by parties considering the Alba stakes from Statoil and Mitsui include the non-operated interest, limited upside and decommissioning and is detailed in an earlier article compiled from interviews with various potential buyers who looked in the data room: Endeavour endangers Alba sale for Statoil and Mitsui.

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Endeavour endangers Alba sale for Statoil and Mitsui

Statoil and Mitsui started marketing their stakes in the Alba heavy oil field in the North Sea at the end of 2017. The field is located in a complex reservoir and developed from a steel platform tied to a floating storage unit.

The field has been marketed by partner Endeavour before without success. Endeavour put its stake up for sale in 2015 but failed to attract sufficient interest.

Sources have revealed that interest in the current sales effort is also thin with potential buyers raising a number of concerns:

Non-operated stake Both Statoil (17%) and Mitsui (13.3%) hold non-operated stakes. The operator is Chevron with 23.4%. This limits the new owner’s ability to implement efficiencies, especially as neither on their own or combined have a controlling stake. Chevron is a decent operator, but being a “major” inevitably means inefficiencies and costs creeping in. This is why the likes of BP have passed assets onto more nimble E&Ps who they know can run assets more efficiently.

Limited upside The field has been producing since 1994 and approaching end of life. Production could continue into the late 2020s but at increasingly insignificant volumes. In 2016, Alba produced at 15.3mbopd which compares to a peak of 80-90mbopd in the early 2000s. In 2014, Chevron undertook a 4D seismic survey to identify infill targets – although infill drilling could continue, Chevron has not committed to a full drilling programme of the prospects. Furthermore, Chevron is divided on its view of the North Sea portfolio – it is a good collection of assets generating good cash flow for North America but at the same time focus is turning to the US onshore. With Chevron’s new CEO Mike Wirth coming onboard in February and his background in downstream, the desire to put capital into the North Sea remains in question.

Decommissioning With a large number of wells and a steel platform, decommissioning will be a complex and high cost exercise – no small endeavour for a buyer to take on. Costs are currently estimated at c.USD750 million in real terms and could go up with the blanket of decommissioning activity coming up in the North Sea.

Endeavour bankruptcy Endeavour is the largest partner at 25.7%. Its US parent company entered into financial restructuring and the UK business is under creditor protection. The UK subsidiary Endeavour Energy UK Limited holds the interest in the field and still has debts of close to USD1 billion. The UK business is in default and the lenders, primarily Credit Suisse, have so far have extended repayment deadlines. However, if the lenders pull the plug on the business in light of Alba continuing to be loss making (per latest financial statements), then the remaining partners in the field will be compelled to take on additional stakes in Alba pro rata. This is a risk to a potential new owner and would increase exposure to future capex and decommissioning.

From the buyer feedback, it is clear why Statoil and Mitsui want to exit the asset. For Statoil, the UK North Sea is becoming less of a focus apart from its remaining large developments. For Mitsui its UK strategy appears to be retreat. Whether a sale goes ahead or not remains to be seen.

UPDATE 24 March 2018: Bidders pull out of Alba sale by Statoil and Mitsui

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Breathing new life into Tyra

The Danish Underground Consortium ("DUC") has approved an investment of DKK21 billion (USD3.4 billion) for the full redevelopment of the Tyra field.

DUC members are Total/Mærsk (31.2 %), Shell (36.8 %), Chevron (12 %) and Nordsøfonden (20 %). The development will ensure continued production from Denmark's largest field for years to come and will also rejuvenate important Danish offshore infrastructure. About 80% of the investment will be for modification of existing and construction of new facilities, with the remainder for decommissioning and removal.

The Mærsk press release noted:
"Tyra is the centre of Denmark’s national energy infrastructure, processing 90% of the nation’s gas production.

Through new development projects and third party tie-ins, the redevelopment of Tyra can be a catalyst for extending the life of the Danish North Sea – not just for Maersk Oil and the DUC, but also for Denmark."

"The new infrastructure can enable operators to pursue new gas projects in the northern part of the North Sea, where the most recent development, Tyra Southeast, delivered first gas in 2015 and is producing above expectations."

"The redeveloped Tyra is expected to deliver approximately 60.000 barrels of oil equivalent per day at peak, and it is estimated that the redevelopment can enable the production of more than 200 million barrels of oil equivalent. Approximately 2/3 of the production is expected to be gas and 1/3 to be oil."

The redevelopment has received government approval and will commence in 2019 with the field being shut-in between November 2019 and Summer 2022 for the works to take place.

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