Saudi Arabia - joining the dots

A series of blog entries exploring Saudi Arabia's role in the oil markets with a brief look at the history of the royal family and politics that dictate and influence the Kingdom's oil policy

AIM - Assets In Market

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Iran negotiations - is the end nigh?

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Yemen: The Islamic Chessboard?

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Acquisition Criteria

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Valuation Series

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Monday, 15 July 2019

European TTF breaks through historical boundaries


S&P has highlighted in its recent webinar that the European TTF price has historically traded within a range but that recent gas pricing dynamics has seen it break out of this range.

TTF has historically been bound by the JKM price as a ceiling (spot LNG price in Asia) and the coal switching price as a floor.

  • In a tight gas market, TTF traded closer to the JKM price to incentivise LNG supplies into Europe
  • In a loose gas market, TTF traded closer to the coal switching price to incentivise more take uptake of LNG by the European power sector


However in H1 2019, there was a big collapse in both the JKM and TTF price. In fact, there has been a period when JKM fell faster than TTF, making it lose its traditional role as a price ceiling and trading below TTF for a brief period.

Monday, 1 July 2019

Warwick duster in the West of Shetlands


Hurricane Energy plc, the UK based oil and gas company focused on hydrocarbon resources in naturally fractured basement reservoirs, provides an update in relation to the 205/26b-13Z ("Warwick Deep") well.

Following completion of drill stem testing of the Warwick Deep well, the decision has been made to plug and abandon the well.

The Warwick Deep well was drilled to a total depth of 1,964m TVDSS and included a 712m horizontal section of fractured basement reservoir. Initial analysis indicates that the well intersected a poorly connected section of the fracture network within the oil column. The well did not flow at commercial rates producing a mixture of drilling brine, water, oil and gas.
The Company and its contractors are currently evaluating the drill stem test data and fluid samples with the objective of providing an update on this preliminary analysis at Hurricane's Capital Markets Day, scheduled for 11 July 2019.

The rig will now undertake work to permanently plug and abandon the Warwick Deep well and will then move to the 205/26b-B 'Lincoln Crestal' well, the second well of a three-well programme on the Greater Warwick Area. Hurricane has a 50% interest in the Greater Warwick Area following Spirit Energy's farm-in to the P1368 South and P2294 licences in September 2018.

Dr Robert Trice, Chief Executive of Hurricane, commented:

"It is disappointing that the Warwick Deep well did not flow at commercial rates. We were initially encouraged by hydrocarbon shows and gas ratio analysis indicative of light oil, however drill stem testing has clearly demonstrated that Warwick Deep cannot be considered suitable as a future production well and therefore the well will be plugged and abandoned.

"I look forward to commencing operations on the second well in the three-well programme, Lincoln Crestal. This is now the preferred candidate to be tied back to the Aoka Mizu FPSO, where Lancaster EPS production operations remain in-line with guidance."

See also: Spirit Energy farms in to Hurricane's Greater Warwick Area