Saudi Arabia: fissures within

King Salman The lack of agreement between members at the 168th OPEC meeting on 4th December means that Saudi Arabia can continue to pursue its strategy of maintaining market share over price for a little longer. In fact, recent production figures show that Saudi Arabia is pumping record amounts of crude this year, a sign of its commitment to this strategy. However, with oil prices reaching recent lows of c.USD40/bbl and little sign of a recovery...

Read More

The Egyptian gas landscape

The Egyptian gas sector has historically suffered from underinvestment and the country has experienced a domestic supply shortfall since the beginning of 2015. Subsidised gas pricing encouraged strong demand growth during the 1990s and 2000s and at the same time, declining gas reserves in the onshore and the high cost of offshore gas developments have resulted in investment being diverted away from gas to onshore oil. The state of the gas market...

Read More

Repsol and Statoil announce asset swap

Alfa Sentral platform in the North Sea On 11th December, Statoil and Repsol announced that they had entered into number of asset swaps as part of a packaged deal: In the North Sea, Statoil farms down a 15% WI in Gudrun (Norway), whilst retaining operatorship and will acquire a 31% WI in Alfa Sentral (UK portion), a field which spans the UK-Norway border In the US, Statoil acquires a 13% WI in the Eagle Ford JV and becomes operator, taking...

Read More

Bienvenido Victor Hugo

Amerisur's pipeline into the Victor Hugo field On 1 December, Amerisur provided an operational update on its interconnector pipeline from Platanillo to the Ecuadorian export pipeline. Once operational, oil export will benefit from the low cost, under-utilised Ecuadorian infrastructure bringing transportation costs to below USD5/bbl. In addition to improved netbacks, the excess export capacity will support increasing production levels at Platanillo. The...

Read More

Fortnum & Mason: the true cost of Christmas

Spending became complacent when oil prices were high and now with oil prices in a lower for longer environment, oil companies are tightening the purse strings. All costs are scrutinised, projects are being sent back to the drawing board to be re-engineered and no dollar of spend is approved unless it is absolutely necessary. In the spirit of Christmas, the team at OGInsights thought we would do a little cost scrutiny of our own following stories...

Read More

ExxonMobil - finding a needle in a haystack

We met with ExxonMobil in the first week of December to catch up on what they have been up in 2015 on the M&A front. The low oil price has certainly prompted an internal flurry of screening for targets and the teams have been looking at “a lot of opportunities” with billions of dollars ready to be spent on acquisitions. Despite a desire to do something, finding the right opportunity is still like “finding a needle in a haystack”. ExxonMobil’s...

Read More

CNOOCNexen on the prowl

Last week, we met with the CNOOCNexen corporate team to discuss their thinking in the current low oil price environment and the possibility of using the opportunity to make acquisitions. At the beginning of 2015, CNOOCNexen expected oil prices to settle at c.USD60/bbl and the second drop in June came as a surprise. Similar to the view held by many oil companies, the oil price is now lower for longer than originally anticipated. CNOOCNexen...

Read More

Premier Oil exits Norway

Premier Oil Norwegian operation Source: Premier Oil On 16 November 2015, Premier Oil announced that it had agreed to sell its Norwegian business to Det Norske for USD120 million. The Norwegian business consists of the Premier Oil Norges subsidiary and includes the Vette development, adjacent Mackerel and Herring discoveries, a non-operated stake in Froy and seven exploration licences. The transaction is expected to close before year end and...

Read More

Petroamerica’s call for cash

A sign of the times, another independent raises funding as the low oil price environment continues to hit small producers hard. On 27th October 2015, Petroamerica became the next in line to ask for cash, raising USD20 million in debentures. The expensive cost of the debt at 13.5% reflects the high risk which investors are attributing to the sector, and also that of Petroamerica. The USD20 million will consist of two USD10 million tranches, with...

Read More

Petroceltic: A review of Worldview's concerns

Brian O'Cathain, CEO of Petroceltic Over the last year, Worldview has been very public about its dissatisfaction with Petroceltic's performance and has openly criticised the board of the company. Earlier this year, it tried to remove Brian O'Cathain as CEO and replace the board with two of its own directors. Worldview believe the assets are not being managed properly and that the Ain Tsila development in Algeria could be brought onstream at a...

Read More

Why Kenyan crude will be exported and not domestically refined

Mombasa refinerySource: http://mygov.go.ke/national-treasury-sets-aside-funds-to-buy-essar-stake-in-refinery/ Kenya currently has no crude oil production and relies solely on imports to feed the domestic refinery in Mombasa. Aside from feedstock for the refinery, there is no other demand for crude oil in Kenya. In 2012, domestic consumption of refined products was 73mbbl/d – this was satisfied by 20mbbl/d of domestic production from the...

Read More

Colombia calling: Petroamerica acquires PetroNova

Cartagena, Colombia Source: http://www.backtrackers.nl/colombia/ The Colombian E&P landscape is characterised by a few IOCs with 100mmbbl+ of reserves (e.g. Repsol, Chevron, Occidental) and a large number of independent E&Ps. The smaller end of the scale is dominated by many small players with more than 25 companies with less than 2.5mmboe of reserves...

Read More

The Apache Egypt treasure map

Source: Houston Geological Society, HGS Apache is a significant acreage holder onshore Egypt with an extensive infrastructure network which allows new discoveries to be brought onstream quickly and at relatively low cost. Its acreage can be broadly split into four areas, the most significant of these is the Western Desert Gas area which underpins the portfolio’s gas reserves and is a key supplier of gas to the domestic market. Source: OGInsights  The...

Read More

Apache exits LNG business through sale to Woodside

Source: OGInsights On 15 December 2014, Apache announced the sale of its interests in the Wheatstone and Kitimat LNG projects to Woodside for USD2.75bn. The move was widely anticipated with Apache announcing in its Q2 2014 results its intention to completely exit LNG; this message was reinforced in the company’s Q3 results on 7 November 2014....

Read More

Lundin stops funding Africa Oil

Africa Oil’s history dates back to 1983, when it was founded as Canmex Minerals with funding from the Lundin family. The company was officially renamed to Africa Oil in June 2009 to reflect its strategic and geographic focus. Since 2009, the company went through a series of acquisitions to consolidate its position in Kenya and Ethiopia...

Read More

Vetra: A Colombian story

Vetra Energia is a private Colombian based E&P with a sole focus on Colombia. Its main asset is a 69.5% operated interest in the Sur Oriente block; Petroamerica is the partner on the block with 30.5% WI which it acquired through the merger with Suroco in 2014. Vetra Energia also has a 100% WI in the La Punta block and a 60% operated interest in VMM2 (40% Canacol) which contains the Mono Araña field. In July 2013, Vetra Energia was acquired...

Read More

Apache's Egyptian Jewel

Apache entered Egypt in 1994 and has since built up a dominant onshore position through a series of acquisitions and an aggressive exploration campaign. It is the largest acreage holder in the Western Desert and operates 24 licences. In 2010, Apache expanded its position through the acquisition of BP’s entire Western Desert portfolio as part of a wider transaction involving BP’s North American assets. In 2013, Apache divested 33.3% of its Egyptian...

Read More

Pricing Kenyan crude

The price a crude fetches is typically against a benchmark such as Brent, WTI or Urals and the underlying crude marketing agreement will detail the calculation of the premium or discount to such a benchmark as well as other adjustments. As Kenyan crude has never been marketed before, there is no established pricing for Lokichar crude – however, a hypothetical value can be calculated. One of the key determinants of crude pricing is crude quality...

Read More

Battle of the routes

Significant resources have been discovered in East Africa with 1.7bnbbl lying in Uganda and 600mmbbl in Kenya. The key barrier to monetising the vast amounts of oil is an export pipeline. In 2010, when Tullow acquired Heritage’s acreage, first oil was envisaged for 2016. Over the last five years, this timing has slowly crept back with estimates now pushed back to late-2019 despite government PR continuing to promote first oil in 2016-17. There...

Read More

Gran Tierra's little pain

Gran Tierra is a TSX and NYSE listed E&P with a focus on Colombia. Its main assets are the Costayaco and Moqueta fields in the Putumayo Basin which accounted for 88% of the company’s Colombian NAR production of 18.4mboe/d in 2014. The company also has an exploration portfolio in Brazil (supported by minimal production of 900bbl/d NAR in 2014) and Peru. In March 2015, Gran Tierra announced that it was suspending development operations on...

Read More

Oil price contingent payment: Bridging the valuation gap in an uncertain oil price environment

In the current oil price environment, buyer-seller alignment on valuation is likely to be an issue with differences driven by view on the oil price outlook. A number of transactions have stalled or been pulled over the last year. One possible way to bridge this gap is to have a contingent consideration element that is contingent on the recovery of the oil price; the seller benefits from recovery in the oil price if it believes a recovery is...

Read More

Iran interim agreement: the Minotaur's labyrinth

In the story of the Minotaur, Daedalus was tasked with building a labyrinth under the order of King Minos of Crete to imprison the dreaded creature. The Minotaur, part man part bull, was an unnatural being. He was created when Pasiphae, King Minos’ wife mated with the bull sent by Poseidon; this was made possible by the wooden cow crafted by Daedalus into which Pasiphae climbed into. The Iran framework agreement, is in some respects like the...

Read More