Cartagena, Colombia Source: http://www.backtrackers.nl/colombia/ |
The Colombian E&P landscape is characterised by a few IOCs with 100mmbbl+ of reserves (e.g. Repsol, Chevron, Occidental) and a large number of independent E&Ps. The smaller end of the scale is dominated by many small players with more than 25 companies with less than 2.5mmboe of reserves.
Colombian E&P 2P reserves Source: Company disclosures, Wood Mackenzie, OGInsights |
Colombia is seen as a
relatively low risk play – the country has enjoyed good exploration success and
onshore drilling is low cost. Many small explorers have flocked to the country
over the last decade. These companies have made a number of discoveries, large
and small, but often lack the financing, experience and management team needed
to take full advantage of the opportunity afforded by the country.
Following the oil
price drop, the challenging market environment has made Colombia a market ripe
for consolidation. Small players are sub-scale and cannot grow on their own,
making them good targets for takeover by larger and better funded players. On
15 June 2015, the Colombian E&P landscape took one further step towards
consolidation with Petroamerica agreeing to takeover PetroNova.
The deal was agreed
between the companies on 12 June 2015 with Petroamerica offering 0.85 shares
per PetroNova share. The offer values PetroNova at USD20.2mm with an enterprise
value of USD21.8mm. The implied deal metrics are: USD66,110/bopd (304bopd
production), USD6.2/bbl 2P (3.5mmbbl post royalty reserves).
Whilst PetroNova’s
reserve and production base is small, it does increase Petroamerica’s 2P
reserves by 78% to 14.5mmbbl. More importantly, Petroamerica will consolidate
its position in PUT-2 to 100% and obtain operatorship. The PetroNova portfolio
is complementary with assets in the Putumayo and Llanos basins, just like
Petroamerica. The assets also come with a drill-ready prospect inventory,
209mmbbl of unrisked prospective resources and environmental permits on each of
the blocks, allowing Petroamerica to expand its exploration portfolio at low
cost.
Left: Petroamerica asset map Right: PetroNova asset map Source: Company disclosures |
Petroamerica has taken
advantage of PetroNova’s falling share price which has declined by c.70% since its
highs in Q3 2014. Whilst Petroamerica’s share price has also been hit by the
sector downturn, its performance has not been as bad as that of PetroNova. The acquisition
combines two companies with a c.USD100mm
market capitalisation (Petroamerica) and a c.USD20mm market capitalisation
(PetroNova). Both businesses are arguable subscale and even with the slight
bulk up through the acquisition, Petroamerica still falls short of being a
major player in Colombia. However, post transaction, Petroamerica will hold a
more interesting portfolio, with exploration assets that could add substantial
reserves and will be unlocked with the recovery in oil price and it is a growing
portfolio with potential that may one day, attract the interest of the bigger
players.
PetroNova share price (LTM) Petroamerica share price (indexed to PetroNova) Source: OGInsights |
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