Saudi Arabia - joining the dots

A series of blog entries exploring Saudi Arabia's role in the oil markets with a brief look at the history of the royal family and politics that dictate and influence the Kingdom's oil policy

AIM - Assets In Market

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Iran negotiations - is the end nigh?

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Yemen: The Islamic Chessboard?

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Acquisition Criteria

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Valuation Series

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Friday, 15 December 2017

Aker BP submits three PDOs


Aker BP ASA (Aker BP) has submitted the Plans for Development and Operations ("PDOs") for the Valhall Flank West, Ærfugl (formerly Snadd) and Skogul (formerly Storklakken) fields to the Norwegian Ministry of Petroleum and Energy.


Valhall Flank East
This development represents an extension on the western Flank of the Valhall field. It will be developed from a new Normally Unmanned Installation and will be tied back to the Valhall field centre. The platform will be fully electrified and operated remotely from Valhall. Recoverable reserves are estimated at 60mmboe to be drained using six producers with first oil planned for Q4 2019.

Field partners are AkerBP (35.95%) and Hess Norge (64.05%). Aker is in the process of acquiring Hess Norge and has entered into an agreement to farm-down 10% to Pandion Energy.


Ærfugl (formerly Snadd)
This is a gas condensate field near the AkerBP operated Skarv FPSO. The PDO covers the full-field development and includes the resources in both the Ærfugl and Snadd Outer fields which are planned to be developed in two phases.

The first phase includes three new production wells in the southern part of the field tied into the Skarv FPSO with production planned to commence in late 2020. The second phase continues to be worked up and will target the northern part of the field - it is also planned to be tied into the Skarv FPSO with an estimated startup of 2023. The full field development targets 275mmboe.

Partners in Ærfugl are AkerBP (23.8% operator), Statoil (36.2%), DEA (28.1%) and PGNiG (11.9%).
Partners in Snadd Outer are: AkerBP (30% operator), Statoil (30%), DEA (25%) and PGNiG (15%).


Skogul (formerly Storklakken)
Skogul is located 30km north of Alvheim FPSO, and will be developed as a subsea tieback to Alvheim via Vilje. Recoverable reserves are estimated at 10mmboe. The Skogul production well is the 35th well in the Alvheim area and represents the partners' efforts in extending life and recovery in the area. Production is planned for Q1 2020.

Field partners are AkerBP (65% operator) and PGNiG (35%).

Tuesday, 12 December 2017

Kosmos dry well at Lamantin

Lamantin-1 on Block C-12 offshore Mauritaniawas was drilled to a TD of 5,150m and designed to evaluate a previously untested structure. The logs and samples collected suggests the reservoir objective was water bearing with small amounts of hydrocarbons. The well will now be plugged and abandoned.

Kosmos will drill the Requin Tigre prospect next and is targeting 60tcf. The well is epected to take around 60 days.

Friday, 8 December 2017

In AWE

China Energy Reserve and Chemical Group (“CERCG”) has returned with a second bid for AWE at A$0.73/share, valuing the company at A$463 million. This follows the withdrawal of the earlier offer at A$0.71/share on 4th December.

On 30th November, CERCG put out a takeover offer for AWE at A$0.71/share contingent on due diligence, approval by the regulatory authorities and the CERBG board. The offer was at a 30% premium to the share price was deemed insufficient by AWE to grant access for due diligence. The bid was subsequently withdrawn on 4th December.

CERCG remains fiercely private with limited information in the public domain. It is reported to have deep pockets with material property investments in Hong Kong to the tune of billions. It is also understood that some of the directors are also on the board of China New Energy Mining Limited, which is the JV partner to Sino Gas on upstream gas developments in China.

On 8th December, CERCG re-launched an offer at A$0.73/share – marginally better but places limited value on the vast contingent resource base of the company with potential upgrade at Waitsia. The approach from CERCG is the third bid in four years. The Lone Star bid at A$0.80/share (A$421 million) in 2016 and Senex scrip/cash bid in 2013 (at A$672 million) were both rejected.

This bid demonstrates continued Chinese interest in pursuing overseas acquisitions, and follows GeoJade’s venture into the international E&P arena with the acquisition of Bankers Petroleum in 2016. However the Chinese state oil companies remain on the sidelines having been burned by poorly timed acquisitions in the past decade, and it is the smaller private Chinese E&Ps and investors that are coming to the foreground.

Monday, 4 December 2017

Canacol: Sabanas export flowline comes online


Canacol has announced that the Sabanas gas flowline is now connected. It is in the final stage of testing and gas transportation is scheduled to commence on 5th December. The flowline has a capacity of 40mmcf/d which is expected to be reached in mid-January following completion of a second compression station - initial gas throughout is expected to be 20mmcfd. Gas will be routed from the Jobo processing facility to the Promigas export line at Bremen with the gas to be sold to consumers at Cartagena. Upon reaching the full 40mmcf/d capacity, Canacol's total gas offtake capacity will increase to 130mmcf/d.

Canacol also added that gas sales for October and November averaged 84.1mmcf/d and oil sales (including Ecuador) of 3,025 bbl/d. In December 2018, the company expects gas production capacity to increase to 230mmcf/d following the completion of the second expansion of the Promigas pipeline from Jobo to Cartagena and Barranquilla.

Friday, 1 December 2017

Breathing new life into Tyra

The Danish Underground Consortium ("DUC") has approved an investment of DKK21 billion (USD3.4 billion) for the full redevelopment of the Tyra field.

DUC members are Total/Mærsk (31.2 %), Shell (36.8 %), Chevron (12 %) and Nordsøfonden (20 %). The development will ensure continued production from Denmark's largest field for years to come and will also rejuvenate important Danish offshore infrastructure. About 80% of the investment will be for modification of existing and construction of new facilities, with the remainder for decommissioning and removal.

The Mærsk press release noted:
"Tyra is the centre of Denmark’s national energy infrastructure, processing 90% of the nation’s gas production.

Through new development projects and third party tie-ins, the redevelopment of Tyra can be a catalyst for extending the life of the Danish North Sea – not just for Maersk Oil and the DUC, but also for Denmark."

"The new infrastructure can enable operators to pursue new gas projects in the northern part of the North Sea, where the most recent development, Tyra Southeast, delivered first gas in 2015 and is producing above expectations."

"The redeveloped Tyra is expected to deliver approximately 60.000 barrels of oil equivalent per day at peak, and it is estimated that the redevelopment can enable the production of more than 200 million barrels of oil equivalent. Approximately 2/3 of the production is expected to be gas and 1/3 to be oil."

The redevelopment has received government approval and will commence in 2019 with the field being shut-in between November 2019 and Summer 2022 for the works to take place.

Thursday, 30 November 2017

Kraken emerges

In mythology, the Kraken was a giant sea monster that dwelled in the present day North Sea. Today, the Kraken field is emerging with production growing day-by-day and a target to reach 50mbopd in H1 2018.

Gross production reached 23mbopd in November (month average) and the second processing train was brought online at the end of the month. The final DC2 production well is now onstream and the DC3 wells are near completion and expected to be brought onstream ahead of schedule. DC4 drilling will commence in 2018 and once online, will bring the field production to 50mbbl/d.
Kraken breathes some new life in the UK North Sea, being one of the small number of sizeable developments in the basin for a number of years. Its start-up has been relatively smooth, with first oil achieved at the end of June 2017 and a steady ramp-up since. Despite some above surface teething issues, these appear largely resolved with the crews getting more familiar with the FPSO operation and continued tuning of equipment.

Source: OGInsights analysis

The field is important for both EnQuest (70.5% operator) and Cairn (29.5%). With the achievement of plateau production, it is expected that one or both partners will farm-down their stake, not least having inherited additional interests from former partner First Oil when it went into administration. The long-life nature of the field, albeit heavy oil, should attract interest from major North Sea players.

Tuesday, 28 November 2017

Siccar Point portfolio tidy-up


Siccar Point has an attractive long-term portfolio currently weighted developments. The portfolio includes a number of earlier stage opportunities. In November, the company took the opportunity to prune the portfolio - bringing in a partner on Lyon and selling Jackdaw to a more natural pair of hands.

On 21st November, Siccar Point announced that it had farmed out UK licences P1854 and P1935 to Ineos. The blocks are located in the West of Shetlands and contain the Lyon prospect which is estimated to contain 1-3tcf of recoverable gas. Ineos now has interests in all four fields that make up the Lyon gas cluster: Lyon, Tobermory, Bunnehaven and Cragganmore - this has the potential to be a future gas hub in the area. For Ineos, the transaction builds upon the recent acquisition of the DONG portfolio as it seeks to become a major UK oil & gas player. Post the farm-out, Siccar Point will hold 33.3% in the blocks with Ineos holding 66.6%.

At the beginning of the month, Siccar Point also announced the divestment of its 26% stake in three blocks covering the Jackdaw discovery to Dyas. Jackdaw is operated by Shell (74%) and is a HPHT field. The discovery lies in the J-Block area and is subject to sanction. The project was put on hold by BG in 2014, but continues to hold substantial gas resources that is expected to be monetised in the early 2020s.